Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:39:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price March 31, 2027 (16.0%), December 31, 2026 (9.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $31K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for March 31, 2027:
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources
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