Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:46:43 UTC, Polymarket traders price Bola Tinubu (72.0%), Peter Obi (24.0%), Omoyele Sowore (0.5%). The market has $133K in volume and closes on Sun, 17 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bola Tinubu | 72.0% | 72.0¢ | 28.0¢ |
| Peter Obi | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| Omoyele Sowore | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| Rabiu Kwankwaso | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.6¢ |
| Rotimi Amaechi | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $133K
- Liquidity: $169K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Sources
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