Nigerian House of Representatives Election Winner
As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 00:31:04 UTC, Polymarket traders price APC (76.5%), Party S (50.0%), Party R (50.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sun, 17 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 76.5% | 76.5¢ | 23.5¢ |
| Party S | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party R | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party W | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party K | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party L | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party M | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party I | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party J | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party T | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party V | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party Y | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party B | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party D | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Party E | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $73K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
National Assembly elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of Nigeria's National Assembly in this election. If the party that wins the greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives is not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose abbreviation as listed in the market options appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates elected under the specified party in the House of Representatives. Seats will not be combined between parties on the basis of endorsements, alliances, coalitions, or other forms of political cooperation. Any changes in party affiliation or seat holdings after the election, including defections, floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, the results of this election are those declared by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) at the conclusion of the election, including the results of any supplementary or rerun polls conducted to complete the declaration of results for constituencies initially declared inconclusive. Judicial outcomes after the declaration of results, includ…
Sources
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