Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:05:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (12.0%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Thu, 07 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $21K
- Liquidity: $21K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Sources
Related markets
- Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Which leaders will leave office this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Nobel Peace Prize winner
- Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.