Scottish independence referendum called?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before 2030 (26.0%), Before 2029 (11.0%), Before 2028 (7.0%). The market has $25K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2030 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Before 2029 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Before 2028 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Before 2027 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $25K
- Liquidity: $25K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before 2030:
If a new Scottish independence referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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