How high will the Nikkei 225 get this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least ¥73,000 (50.0%), At least ¥75,000 (23.0%), At least ¥76,000 (14.0%). The market has $36K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least ¥73,000 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least ¥75,000 | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| At least ¥76,000 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least ¥77,000 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least ¥74,000 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least ¥78,000 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| At least ¥80,000 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least ¥79,000 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $36K
- Liquidity: $36K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least ¥73,000:
If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is at least ¥73,000 from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥73,000 at any single point from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach ¥73,000 at any point from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. If no data is available from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than "No data" or "None" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.
Sources
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