How high will the S&P/TSX Composite Index get this year?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 03:02:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 38,000 (36.0%), At least 37,000 (31.0%), At least 39,000 (16.0%). The market has $10K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38,000 | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| At least 37,000 | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| At least 39,000 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| At least 40,000 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $10K
- Liquidity: $10K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 38,000:
If the value of S&P/TSX Composite Index (TSX) is at least 38,000 from Jul 9, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the value of the S&P/TSX Composite Index as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied. It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed 38,000 at any single point from Jul 9, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained. If the index does not reach 38,000 at any point from Jul 9, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. If no data is available from Jul 9, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than "No data" or "None" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.
Sources
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