How high will unemployment get in 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 4.5% (12.0%), Above 4.8% (9.0%), Above 5.5% (8.0%). The market has $810K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Above 4.8% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 5% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above 6% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 17% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 20% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above 15% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 12% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 7% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 9% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 10% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 8% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 6.5% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $810K
- Liquidity: $810K
- Closes:
Sources
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DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.