How high will US gas prices get this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 05:30:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $4.60 (46.0%), Above $4.80 (39.0%), Above $5.00 (26.0%). The market has $1.9M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $4.60 | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Above $4.80 | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| Above $5.00 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Above $5.20 | 17.0% | 17.0¢ | 83.0¢ |
| Above $5.40 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| Above $5.60 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above $5.80 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Above $6.00 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above $6.20 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above $6.40 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above $7.00 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above $6.60 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Above $6.80 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1.9M
- Liquidity: $1.9M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $4.60:
If AAA reports that the maximum price of national average regular gas for the US is greater than $4.60 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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