How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price 64.99 or below (16.0%), 63.99 or below (15.0%), 62.99 or below (11.0%). The market has $734K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64.99 or below | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| 63.99 or below | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| 62.99 or below | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 60.99 or below | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 61.99 or below | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 59.99 or below | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 56.99 or below | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 57.99 or below | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 58.99 or below | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 54.99 or below | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 55.99 or below | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 49.99 or below | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $734K
- Liquidity: $734K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 49.99 or below:
If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $50 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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