How high will oil (WTI) get by end of year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:18:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price $115.01 or above (42.1%), $120.01 or above (31.7%), $125.01 or above (23.0%). The market has $8.3M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
$115.01 or above42.1%42.1¢57.9¢
$120.01 or above31.7%31.7¢68.3¢
$125.01 or above23.0%23.0¢77.0¢
$130.01 or above16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
$135.01 or above15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
$140.01 or above10.0%10.0¢90.0¢
$160.01 or above9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
$150.01 or above8.8%8.8¢91.2¢
$200.01 or above6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
$180.01 or above5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for $115.01 or above:

If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $115 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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