Wisconsin manufacturing employment average this year

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:02:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 447,500 jobs (97.0%), Above 450,000 jobs (96.0%), Above 452,500 jobs (92.0%). The market has $161K in volume and closes on Fri, 07 May 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 447,500 jobs97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 450,000 jobs96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above 452,500 jobs92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
Above 455,000 jobs66.0%66.0¢34.0¢
Above 457,500 jobs30.0%30.0¢70.0¢
Above 460,000 jobs11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Above 462,500 jobs6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 447,500 jobs:

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that Wisconsin's annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 447,500 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The underlying is the Wisconsin Manufacturing figure in BLS's Annual Average Table 1: Employees on nonfarm payrolls in states and selected areas by major industry, measured in thousands of jobs. Relevant BLS monthly series: SMS55000003000000001 — Wisconsin Manufacturing, All Employees. The officially published annual-average figure will be used rather than independently averaging monthly estimates.

Sources

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