Global remittances received this year
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $750 billion (95.0%), Above $800 billion (94.0%), Above $850 billion (87.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Mon, 08 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $750 billion | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above $800 billion | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| Above $850 billion | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| Above $900 billion | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
| Above $950 billion | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Above $1,000 billion | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Above $1,050 billion | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above $1,100 billion | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $750 billion:
If global personal remittances received in 2026 are above $750 billion, according to the World Bank’s July 2028 WDI archive or the subsequent qualifying archive specified below, then the market resolves to Yes. Use the 2026 “World” value for “Personal remittances, received (current US$)” (BX.TRF.PWKR.CD.DT) in the July 2028 WDI archive as initially published. If that archive is unavailable or omits the value, use the first subsequent archive containing it published by December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET. Include revisions incorporated into the selected vintage and ignore subsequent changes. Divide the reported dollar value by 1 billion without rounding before comparison with the strike.
Sources
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