Gold price at year end?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4,300 or above (49.0%), 4,400 or above (31.0%), 4,500 or above (25.0%). The market has $322K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4,300 or above | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| 4,400 or above | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 4,500 or above | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 4,600 or above | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| 4,700 or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 4,800 or above | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 4,900 or above | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 5,000 or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 5,100 or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 5,200 or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 5,400 or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 5,300 or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5,500 or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $322K
- Liquidity: $322K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4,300 or above:
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4300 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Pyth - Gold.
Sources
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