Will Bitcoin outperform gold this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:20:47 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (41.1%). The market has $306K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes41.1%41.1¢58.9¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If Bitcoin outperforms gold in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The performance of gold will be determined by using ICE Data Service's prices provided by a variety of financial institutions. The performance of Bitcoin will be determined by using the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index.

Sources

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