Average Wall Street bonus this year
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 23:43:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $200,000 (98.0%), Above $225,000 (96.0%), Above $250,000 (88.0%). The market has $185K in volume and closes on Wed, 07 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $200,000 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above $225,000 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above $250,000 | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above $275,000 | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Above $300,000 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above $325,000 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Above $350,000 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $185K
- Liquidity: $185K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $200,000:
If the New York State Comptroller reports the average Wall Street bonus for 2026 is above $200,000, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the New York State Comptroller’s annual estimate of the average bonus for securities-industry (NAICS 523) employees working in New York City for 2026. The OSC estimate includes cash bonuses and deferred compensation for which taxes have been withheld, and excludes stock options and other deferred compensation for which taxes have not yet been withheld. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Sources
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