S&P close price end of 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 04:50:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price 7,800 to 7,999.99 (24.0%), 8,000 to 8,199.99 (18.0%), 7,600 to 7,799.99 (14.0%). The market has $7.9M in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7,800 to 7,999.99 | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| 8,000 to 8,199.99 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| 7,600 to 7,799.99 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 7,400 to 7,599.99 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 8,200 to 8,399.99 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 7,200 to 7,399.99 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 6,800 to 6,999.99 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 7,000 to 7,199.99 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 8,400 to 8,599.99 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 6,600 to 6,799.99 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 6,000 to 6,199.99 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 6,400 to 6,599.99 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 9,000.01 or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 3,999.99 or below | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 4,000 to 4,199.99 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7.9M
- Liquidity: $7.9M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 3,999.99 or below:
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Sources
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