When will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:56:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Dec 31, 2029 (33.0%), Before Dec 31, 2028 (20.0%), Before Jun 30, 2028 (15.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Dec 31, 2029 | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| Before Dec 31, 2028 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Before Jun 30, 2028 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Before Dec 31, 2027 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Before Jun 30, 2027 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Before Dec 31, 2026 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Before Sep 23, 2030 | 0.0% | 0.0¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Dec 31, 2029:
If the value of the S&P 500 Index is above $10,000 at any point after Issuance and before Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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