How high will the S&P get this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:07:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price 8,000 or above (49.0%), 8,200 or above (22.5%), 8,400 or above (13.0%). The market has $2.3M in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8,000 or above | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| 8,200 or above | 22.5% | 22.5¢ | 77.5¢ |
| 8,400 or above | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| 8,600 or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 9,000 or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 8,800 or above | 2.7% | 2.7¢ | 97.3¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2.3M
- Liquidity: $2.3M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 8,000 or above:
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending before Jan 1, 2027 is above 7999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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