How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $1500 (5.0%), Above $1400 (5.0%), Above $1200 (4.0%). The market has $81K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $1500 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above $1400 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Above $1200 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above $1100 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above $1600 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above $1300 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above $1000 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $81K
- Liquidity: $81K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $1500:
If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1500 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
Related markets
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- How high will inflation get this year?
- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
- CPI YoY in November
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.