State of the economy at the end of 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Overheating (68.0%), Soft landing (28.0%), Stagflation (2.0%). The market has $125K in volume and closes on Wed, 13 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overheating | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Soft landing | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Stagflation | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Slack / disinflation | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $125K
- Liquidity: $125K
- Closes:
Sources
Related markets
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- How high will inflation get this year?
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
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