How high will inflation get this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 4.5% (18.0%), At least 5.0% (11.0%), At least 5.5% (7.0%). The market has $952K in volume and closes on Sun, 14 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 4.5% | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| At least 5.0% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| At least 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| At least 7.0% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $952K
- Liquidity: $952K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 4.5%:
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
Related markets
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- CPI in October
- Core CPI in October
- CPI YoY in November
- Core CPI YoY in November
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