How high will CPI get this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 4.3% (20.0%), Above 4.4% (20.0%), Above 4.2% (20.0%). The market has $179K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 4.3%20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Above 4.4%20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Above 4.2%20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Above 4.5%17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
Above 4.7%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Above 5.0%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Above 4.6%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Above 4.9%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
Above 4.8%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 4.3%:

If any Consumer Price Index (CPI YoY) report is above 4.3% for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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