CPI YoY in November

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 05:07:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 3.0% (99.0%), Above 3.1% (99.0%), Above 3.2% (99.0%). The market has $551K in volume and closes on Thu, 10 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 3.0%99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 3.1%99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 3.2%99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
Above 3.3%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
Above 3.4%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 3.5%95.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Above 3.6%88.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Above 3.7%80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
Above 3.8%63.0%63.0¢37.0¢
Above 3.9%49.0%49.0¢51.0¢
Above 4.0%34.0%34.0¢66.0¢
Above 4.2%18.0%18.0¢82.0¢
Above 4.1%17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
Above 4.3%11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Above 4.4%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 3.0%:

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown

Sources

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