Will Trump be allowed to run for a 3rd term?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (9.0%). The market has $340K in volume and closes on Sun, 21 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $340K
- Liquidity: $340K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the 22nd Amendment has been repealed by a subsequent Constitutional Amendment, or if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled in an opinion or judgment that the 22nd Amendment permits individuals to be elected to the Presidency at least thrice under at least some circumstances, before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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