How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:00:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below 37% (97.0%), Below 36% (80.0%), Below 35% (38.0%). The market has $531K in volume and closes on Thu, 07 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 37% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Below 36% | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Below 35% | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Below 34% | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Below 33% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $531K
- Liquidity: $531K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below 37%:
If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 37%, then the market resolves to Yes. In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.
Sources
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