Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2028 (51.0%), Before Jul 1, 2027 (46.0%), Before May 1, 2027 (31.0%). The market has $20K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 1, 202851.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Before Jul 1, 202746.0%46.0¢54.0¢
Before May 1, 202731.0%31.0¢69.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2028:

If the FAA's ban on civilian supersonic flight over land ends before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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