Will the United Kingdom join the EU?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 02:02:44 UTC, Kalshi traders price By Jan 1, 2040 (13.0%), By Jan 1, 2035 (7.0%), By Jan 1, 2032 (5.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Jan 2040.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| By Jan 1, 2040 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
| By Jan 1, 2035 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| By Jan 1, 2032 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for By Jan 1, 2040:
If the United Kingdom has joined the EU by Jan 1, 2040, or the date that the country will officially join per its accession treaty is Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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