Will the U.S. grant CAATSA sanctions relief to Turkey this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (41.0%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $6K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If the White House, the U.S. Department of State, or the U.S. Department of the Treasury announce the completion of a sanctions-relief action, through a waiver, license, termination, revocation, delisting, or equivalent mechanism, that removes or suspends any sanction imposed on December 14, 2020, under CAATSA Section 231 against Turkey’s Presidency of Defense Industries (SSB) or any Turkish official named in that action, or authorizes conduct otherwise prohibited by any such sanction before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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