Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:19:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (15.0%). The market has $71K in volume and closes on Sat, 20 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $71K
- Liquidity: $71K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If a free trade agreement with China has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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