Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jul 1, 2027 (55.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (32.0%), Before Oct 1, 2026 (2.0%). The market has $24K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 55.0% | 55.0¢ | 45.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $24K
- Liquidity: $24K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jul 1, 2027:
If United States of America v. James Brien Comey, Jr. has been dismissed by the court or administrative body with jurisdiction after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A dismissal is defined as: For Criminal Cases: Dismissal of charges by prosecutor (nolle prosequi) Court-ordered dismissal for constitutional violations Dismissal for speedy trial violations Dismissal for prosecutorial misconduct Dismissal for insufficient evidence Dismissal following successful motion to dismiss The following do NOT constitute dismissals: Settlement agreements between parties Plea bargains or guilty pleas in criminal cases Default judgments Summary judgments on the merits Trial verdicts (guilty, not guilty, liable, not liable) Consent decrees or agreed orders Cases transferred to different courts Cases stayed or continued indefinitely Bankruptcy discharge (which is a substantive resolution) Cases resolved through alternative dispute resolution Appeals or remands (unless the appellate court dismisses the case entirely) Temporary restraining orders or preliminary injunctions Administrative closure If only some claims, counts, or defendants are dismissed while the case continues on other matters, this does NOT constitute a dismissal for purposes of this contract. The entire case must be dismissed.
Sources
Related markets
- Who will be arrested this year?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?
- When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
- Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
- Next French Presidential Election
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.