Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2028 (47.0%), Before Aug 1, 2027 (35.0%), Before Apr 1, 2027 (20.0%). The market has $168K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2027 | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Before Nov 3, 2026 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $168K
- Liquidity: $168K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2028:
If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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