Who will be arrested before 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:48:12 UTC, Polymarket traders price John Brennan (21.0%), Mahmoud Khalil (19.0%), James Comey (10.0%). The market has $226K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Brennan | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Mahmoud Khalil | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| James Comey | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Brandon Johnson | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Anthony Fauci | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| James Clapper | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| Tom Homan | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 6.3% | 6.3¢ | 93.7¢ |
| Susan Rice | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Pam Bondi | 5.9% | 5.9¢ | 94.1¢ |
| Candace Owens | 5.1% | 5.1¢ | 94.9¢ |
| Letitia James | 4.9% | 4.9¢ | 95.2¢ |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero | 3.9% | 3.9¢ | 96.2¢ |
| Lisa Cook | 3.9% | 3.9¢ | 96.2¢ |
| Lee Jun-seok | 3.4% | 3.4¢ | 96.6¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $226K
- Liquidity: $581K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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