Who will be impeached by June 30, 2027?
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 18:52:30 UTC, Polymarket traders price Pete Hegseth - Secretary of Defense (57.0%), Donald Trump - President (50.5%), Todd Blanche - Attorney General (49.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth - Secretary of Defense | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| Donald Trump - President | 50.5% | 50.5¢ | 49.5¢ |
| Todd Blanche - Attorney General | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Kash Patel - FBI Director | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. - Secretary of Health and Human Services | 48.5% | 48.5¢ | 51.5¢ |
| Russ Vought - OMB Director | 46.5% | 46.5¢ | 53.5¢ |
| Marco Rubio - Secretary of State | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| Linda McMahon - Secretary of Education | 19.5% | 19.5¢ | 80.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. House of Representatives adopts one or more articles of impeachment against the specified individual in connection with their specified role between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes". If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office before any article of impeachment is adopted, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. House of Representatives, including the Office of the Clerk and Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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