Who will announce a California departure this year?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price Peter Thiel (57.0%), Mark Zuckerberg (36.0%), Larry Page (30.0%). The market has $26K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Thiel | 57.0% | 57.0¢ | 43.0¢ |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Larry Page | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Chamath Palihapitiya | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Palmer Luckey | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Jensen Huang | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Marc Andreessen | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $26K
- Liquidity: $26K
- Closes:
Sources
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