Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
As of Fri, 09 Oct 2026 13:33:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (6.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If any California statewide elected official or Governor's cabinet member has been federally charged with fraud after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.
Sources
Related markets
- Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.