Which Senate races will be within 5 points?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Texas (83.0%), Iowa (76.0%), Kansas (71.0%). The market has $37K in volume and closes on Fri, 18 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Iowa | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| Kansas | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| Michigan | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Ohio (special) | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Maine | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Alaska | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| Nebraska | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| South Carolina | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Florida (special) | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| New Hampshire | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| North Carolina | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $37K
- Liquidity: $37K
- Closes:
Sources
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