Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Uganda (38.0%), Democratic Republic of the Congo (12.0%), Lebanon (9.0%). The market has $97K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Lebanon | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Syria | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Yemen | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| South Sudan | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Burma (Myanmar) | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Iran | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Iraq | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Haiti | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Russia | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Gaza | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Libya | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Ukraine | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| North Korea | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $97K
- Liquidity: $97K
- Closes:
Sources
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