Which ballot measures will pass in California?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Proposition 3 (92.0%), Proposition 2 (87.0%), Proposition 37 (82.0%). The market has $31K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Proposition 3 | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Proposition 2 | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| Proposition 37 | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| Proposition 42 | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| Proposition 1 | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Proposition 38 | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Proposition 41 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| Proposition 45 | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Proposition 4 | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Proposition 43 | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| Proposition 5 | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Proposition 39 | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Proposition 44 | 13.0% | 13.0¢ | 87.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $31K
- Liquidity: $31K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Proposition 3:
If Proposition 3 passes in California, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
Related markets
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Blue wave this year?
- Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
- Blue tsunami this year?
- New York Attorney General winner?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.