When will Canada announce a snap election?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jul 1, 2028 (36.0%), Before Jan 1, 2028 (26.0%), Before Jul 1, 2027 (15.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jul 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 26.0% | 26.0¢ | 74.0¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $12K
- Liquidity: $12K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jul 1, 2028:
If Canada officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A "snap election" is a national election for the legislature or head of government called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally or legally required date. The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call such elections, must specify an actual election date, and must occur after Issuance, regardless of when the election is scheduled to take place. This market concerns a general election to the House of Commons. By-elections to fill individual vacancies do not qualify.
Sources
Related markets
- Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Which leaders will leave office this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Nobel Peace Prize winner
- Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.