When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:57 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jul 1, 2027 (81.0%), Before Apr 1, 2027 (73.0%), Before Feb 1, 2027 (65.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 46.0% | 46.0¢ | 54.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jul 1, 2027:
If any AI model company records above 65 on Artificial Analysis's Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/providers) after market issuance and before July 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying score must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. The relevant score is the official, publicly displayed overall index score on https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/providers. The observation window begins at market issuance and ends immediately before the date stated in the market, at 12:00 AM ET. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Artificial Analysis. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Sources
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