What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Roybal v. Griffith (59.0%), U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court (36.0%), Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day (21.0%). The market has $61K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roybal v. Griffith | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
| U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Republican National Committee v. Eakin | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Duncan v. Bonta | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $61K
- Liquidity: $61K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Roybal v. Griffith:
If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to Roybal v. Griffith before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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