Taiwan presidential election winner?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price William Lai (75.0%), Cheng Li-wun (11.0%), Hou Yu-ih (8.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Mon, 31 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Lai | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Cheng Li-wun | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Hou Yu-ih | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Terry Gou | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for William Lai:
If the winner of the next Taiwanese presidential election is William Lai, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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