New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
As of Mon, 14 Sep 2026 18:53:49 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (14.5%). The market has $247K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 14.5% | 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $247K
- Liquidity: $473
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Sources
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