Plague pandemic in 2026?
As of Sun, 18 Oct 2026 04:39:41 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (2.3%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.3% | 2.3¢ | 97.8¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $97K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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