CA-48 House election: Jim Desmond vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:38 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 38% (94.0%), At least 40% (84.0%), At least 42% (69.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 38%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jim Desmond in the 2026 CA-48 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Jim Desmond ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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