California 04 House General Election: voter turnout
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 180K (97.0%), Above 160K (97.0%), Above 170K (97.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 180K | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 160K | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 170K | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| Above 190K | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Above 200K | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Above 210K | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| Above 220K | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Above 230K | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| Above 240K | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| Above 260K | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Above 270K | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| Above 280K | 34.0% | 34.0¢ | 66.0¢ |
| Above 300K | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Above 320K | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Above 340K | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 180K:
If the total vote count for all participants in California 04 House General Election is above 180000, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Sources
Related markets
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.