California 19 House General Election: voter turnout

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 200K (93.0%), Above 190K (91.0%), Above 210K (87.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 200K93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
Above 190K91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
Above 210K87.0%87.0¢13.0¢
Above 220K82.0%82.0¢18.0¢
Above 230K76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Above 240K68.0%68.0¢32.0¢
Above 250K59.0%59.0¢41.0¢
Above 260K49.0%49.0¢51.0¢
Above 280K32.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Above 310K13.0%13.0¢87.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 200K:

If the total vote count for all participants in California 19 House General Election is above 200000, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Sources

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