California Governor election: Steve Hilton vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:01 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 32% (95.0%), At least 30% (93.0%), At least 34% (87.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 30% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 87.0% | 87.0¢ | 13.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| At least 37% | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 32%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Steve Hilton ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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