California Governor General Election: voter turnout
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 15:33:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 10M (92.0%), Above 9.5M (90.0%), Above 10.5M (88.0%). The market has $48K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 10M | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Above 9.5M | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| Above 10.5M | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 10.9M | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| Above 11.5M | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Above 12M | 70.0% | 70.0¢ | 30.0¢ |
| Above 12.6M | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| Above 13.1M | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| Above 14.2M | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Above 14.8M | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Above 15.4M | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $48K
- Liquidity: $48K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 10M:
If the total vote count for all participants in California Governor General Election is above 10000000, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Sources
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